What

First and foremost, this is an unproven method of choosing when to enter and exit a position. Since back-testing is used to produce the models future results may not reflect or produce expected returns.

2015-03-02

Based on the running total from the beginning of this year I can see this strategy does not work.  Therefore I will stop publishing this concept.




At run time 3/2/15 3:02 PM the paper account value is $99001.06 with a starting investment of $100000.
Model Run











SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibBUY - 2015-02-03SELL - Today
erxBUY - 2015-02-25SELL - 2015-02-27
fasBUY - 2015-02-10SELL - 2015-02-27
miduSELL - 2015-02-26BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclBUY - 2015-01-14SELL - 2015-02-27
tnaSELL - 2015-02-26BUY - Today
ugazSELL - 2015-02-24BUY - 2015-02-27
ugldBUY - 2015-02-12SELL - 2015-02-26
urtySELL - 2015-02-26BUY - Today

Buy Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 5   Bears: 5
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Technology as represented by TECL




2015-02-27

Energy, Financials, & Tech. Models Sell, Nat Gas Buys.

At run time 2/27/15 3:17 PM the paper account value is $99119.63 with a starting investment of $100000.




Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-03
erxBUY - 2015-02-25SELL - Today
fasBUY - 2015-02-10SELL - Today
miduBUY - 2015-02-24SELL - 2015-02-26
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclBUY - 2015-01-14SELL - Today
tnaBUY - 2015-02-24SELL - 2015-02-26
ugazSELL - 2015-02-24BUY - Today
ugldBUY - 2015-02-12SELL - 2015-02-26
urtyBUY - 2015-02-24SELL - 2015-02-26

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Technology(TECL)
So in the paper account I will be buying &  selling.
Score - Bulls: 3   Bears: 7
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2015-02-26

A Bunch Of Models Become Nervous Nellies.

At run time 2/26/15 3:13 PM the paper account value is $99367.57 with a starting investment of $100000.


Model Run


SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-03
erxSELL - 2015-02-23BUY - 2015-02-25
fasSELL - 2015-02-06BUY - 2015-02-10
miduBUY - 2015-02-24SELL - Today
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclBUY - 2015-01-14SELL - Today
tnaBUY - 2015-02-24SELL - Today
ugazBUY - 2015-02-20SELL - 2015-02-24
ugldBUY - 2015-02-12SELL - Today
urtyBUY - 2015-02-24SELL - Today

Sell Today: Gold(UGLD) Mid Caps(MIDU) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) & Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 4   Bears: 6
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2015-02-25

Energy Model Back With The Bulls.

After hour posting - I try to run this around an hour before closing but today I was just too busy.


At run time 2/25/15 5:00 PM the paper account value is $100200.63 with a starting investment of $100000.


Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-03
erxSELL - 2015-02-23BUY - Today
fasSELL - 2015-02-06BUY - 2015-02-10
miduSELL - 2015-02-20BUY - 2015-02-24
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaSELL - 2015-02-20BUY - 2015-02-24
ugazBUY - 2015-02-20SELL - 2015-02-24
ugldSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-12
urtySELL - 2015-02-20BUY - 2015-02-24

Buy Today: Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be buying. And the closing price will be used.
Score - Bulls: 9   Bears: 1
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ




2015-02-24

Small Caps/Mid Caps Models Are Buyers. Not Nat. Gas.

At run time 2/24/15 3:05 PM the paper account value is $99962.48 with a starting investment of $100000.



Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-03
erxBUY - 2015-02-19SELL - 2015-02-23
fasSELL - 2015-02-06BUY - 2015-02-10
miduSELL - 2015-02-20BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaSELL - 2015-02-20BUY - Today
ugazBUY - 2015-02-20SELL - Today
ugldSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-12
urtySELL - 2015-02-20BUY - Today

Buy Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX




2015-02-23

Energy Model Sells.

At run time 2/23/15 3:15 PM the paper account value is $99526.26 with a starting investment of $100000.



Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-03
erxBUY - 2015-02-19SELL - Today
fasSELL - 2015-02-06BUY - 2015-02-10
miduBUY - 2015-02-09SELL - 2015-02-20
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaBUY - 2015-02-17SELL - 2015-02-20
ugazSELL - 2015-02-17BUY - 2015-02-20
ugldSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-12
urtyBUY - 2015-02-17SELL - 2015-02-20

Sell Today: Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 6   Bears: 4
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----

  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2015-02-20

A Little Bit of Bearish-ness In The Models.

At run time the paper account value is $100804.05 with a starting investment of $100000.


Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-03
erxSELL - 2015-02-17BUY - 2015-02-19
fasSELL - 2015-02-06BUY - 2015-02-10
miduBUY - 2015-02-09SELL - Today
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaBUY - 2015-02-17SELL - Today
ugazSELL - 2015-02-17BUY - Today
ugldSELL - 2015-01-30BUY - 2015-02-12
urtyBUY - 2015-02-17SELL - Today

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY