What

First and foremost, this is an unproven method of choosing when to enter and exit a position. Since back-testing is used to produce the models future results may not reflect or produce expected returns.

2014-04-23

4 Models Buy in the Down Market... After 4PM Bullish Count Goes to 5

After 4 URTY joins this list.

As of 3:30PM the models say Buy Today: Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Natural Gas(UGAZ) Gold(UGLD)

So in the paper account I will be buying. bought the 4 reported at 3:30.

Tomorrow at the open I will be URTY.


Score - Bulls: 5   Bears: 5
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL



2014-04-22

Reset and Restart

It appears the Yahoo Financial corrected its historical database over the past Easter weekend.  So I am going to restart the model reports. 

Other changes: the DRN 3X Real Estate is replaced by UGLD - VelocityShares 3x Long Gold ETN
and RETL 2X Retail is replace by UGAZ - VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN


All 10 models are rebuilt and as of today all models are sold.

2014-03-31

Unreliable Data From Yahoo.

I use Yahoo's financial quote server to get the historical data used for the models.    There are some very large gaps of data in the Yahoo database.  For instance take a look at the ETF EEM there is almost a month of data missing from the middle of Dec '13 through the middle of Jan '14.

I will not be posting updates until Yahoo has corrected its database or until I find a more reliable source of historical data.

2014-03-24

All 10 Models Get Bullish

Buy Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Real Estate(DRN) Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) Retail(RETL) SP 500(SPXL) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)

So in the paper account I will be buying.

Score - Bulls: 10   Bears: 0


----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Real Estate as represented by DRN
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Retail as represented by RETL
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----



    2014-03-20

    The Remaining Models Go To The Bears

    Sell Today: Retail(RETL) SP 500(SPXL) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)

    So in the paper account I will be selling.
    Score - Bulls: 0   Bears: 10
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
      ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
      • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
      • Real Estate as represented by DRN
      • Energy as represented by ERX
      • Finance as represented by FAS
      • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
      • Retail as represented by RETL
      • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
      • Technology as represented by TECL
      • Small Caps as represented by TNA
      • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY



      2014-03-18

      Update - Now It's 5 Models That Are Bearish

      This morning it was 4 but using the 3:30 numbers another model went to the bear side - Mid Caps(MIDU)

      Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Real Estate(DRN) Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU)

      So in the paper account I will be selling MIDU.  The other four were sold earlier today.

      Score - Bulls: 5   Bears: 5
      ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
      • Retail as represented by RETL
      • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
      • Technology as represented by TECL
      • Small Caps as represented by TNA
      • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
      ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
      • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
      • Real Estate as represented by DRN
      • Energy as represented by ERX
      • Finance as represented by FAS
      • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU



      4 Models Get Bearish

      Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Real Estate(DRN) Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS)

      So in the paper account I will be selling.

      Score - Bulls: 6   Bears: 4
      ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
      • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
      • Retail as represented by RETL
      • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
      • Technology as represented by TECL
      • Small Caps as represented by TNA
      • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
      ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
      • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
      • Real Estate as represented by DRN
      • Energy as represented by ERX
      • Finance as represented by FAS